Forecasts 2030.
Let’s look into the future?
It is becoming more and more obvious that we can attract the future that we are most interested in. Nevertheless, there are objective trends that set certain social and economic flows in which the whole world will have to exist regardless of whether we want it or not.

In this section, we have collected forecasts and research that we considered important for participants to understand their aim and that will help them better formulate the values of the projects submitted to the Competition.
Forecasts 2030.
Let’s look into the future?
It is becoming more and more obvious that we can attract the future that we are most interested in. Nevertheless, there are objective trends that set certain social and economic flows in which the whole world will have to exist regardless of whether we want it or not.

In this section, we have collected forecasts and research that we considered important for participants to understand their aim and that will help them better formulate the values of the projects submitted to the Competition.
Viral revolution: how a pandemic will change our world
The forecast of the Chancellor of the Higher School of Economics Yaroslav Kuzminov on the changes that await us: the reduction of office workers by one third, the trade transition from retailing to online shops, a radical update of health and education, and so much more.

Possible perspectives
  • 1
    Centers of influence are shifting to the East
    By 2030, most of the urban population will live in Asian countries. The largest education markets will be India and China.
  • 2
    Robot replacement for most common professions
    Robots and applications are becoming smarter and more functional and are already replacing people in some areas, for example, on assembly lines and in agriculture. According to forecasts, in the next 6−7 years they will surpass the person not only in common professions, but also in the field of white-collar workers: more than 50% of patents for developments in the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence relate to high-level professions such as analysts, engineers, doctors and lawyers.
  • 3
    The conflict between people and androids
    The lawmakers abroad are facing huge challenges even now, forming a new science "The rights and duties of robots and artificial intelligence." This is especially important because of the penetration of intelligent technologies in the environment of early children education and management of industrial facilities. Very soon, it will be impossible to remove them from daily use systems and this will begin to lead firstly to legal conflicts, and then to open clashes between technologies and the "new luddites".
  • 4
    Workplace Generation Conflict
    The number of people 50+ years old in 20 years will be about 25% of the population. The thinking, decision-making, and digital skills of people trained in 20th-century schools and those studying now will dramatically differ. The generational resistance will increase while the speed of growth and efficiency of any company will decrease. This will require new approaches and the emergence of entire professions that will help synchronize generational gaps and facilitate the translation of meanings.
  • 5
    The blackout of the Internet
    The darknet is a segment of the Internet that allows users to access hidden areas of the global network staying anonymous through the use of special software. It will be used as circumvent government restrictions, which will lead to the creation of parallel data flows that will pose a threat to the safety of citizens, businesses and the state.
  • 6
    Digital doubles
    The concept of digital doubles as a virtual representation of a physical object is used in industry, becoming a strong catalyst for the development of modern companies. For example, the technology made it possible to "assemble" 20 oil refineries and oil production facilities of ADNOC, one of the key operators of the oil and gas industry in the middle East, into a single control room. The digital counterpart combines the entire complex of the company’s assets scattered throughout the Middle East. All processes were unified and brought to a single standard.
    At the University of Lobachevsky and DIT Moscow, scientists are developing a digital copy of a person with exact analogs of life systems. This "neurodeveloper" allows you to monitor the physical condition of the patient and prevent the risks of developing diseases. In the future, the use of such virtual models of organs and the body in medical institutions will give employees the opportunity to monitor online data on the health of customers and the state of medical equipment, as well as remotely affect indicators.
  • 7
    Training customization
    The development of individual educational tracks will lead to the creation of "smart textbooks" that can adapt to different ages and levels of knowledge. The role of the teacher will change to that of a mentor who will find a different approach for each student using electronic technologies, artificial intelligence and a digital portfolio. In addition, customization of training will affect not only students, but also teachers themselves.
  • 8
    Urbanization of previously inaccessible territories
    The development of zones of extreme cold and heat, underground and underwater territories that are remote from civilization, and even other planets becomes a special agenda for the development of the human community.
  • 9
    Creative industries as a new source of GDP
    Creative industries in the United States and most European countries are growing rapidly and are stimulating the development of other sectors of the economy. The global market for creative products is already worth $ 12 trillion. The development of the creative economy is directly related to the quality of human capital concentrated on a particular territory. Cities turn into a favorable infrastructure, where new connections are established, new networks of contacts are formed and their fundamentally new mix is formed. The most valuable characteristics of cities were not basic services or economic opportunities, but objects of social and household infrastructure of the city, its friendliness and beauty. Kaliningrad, thanks to rebates (tax refunds), is becoming a new center for the development of cinema, Tomsk relies on IT — there are already 150 companies that work with foreign customers, Yakut masters master modern jewelry design with the support of Moscow creators. It is predicted that in 20 years the contribution of creative industries to global GDP will be 50−60%.
  • 10
    The education market is acquiring features of the financial system
    By 2030, the higher education system will become a financial market with all the existing instruments in the financial sector — long-term loans, insurance, venture institutions, business incubators, etc. For example, in Singularity University, a business recently founded by Google and NASA, the University holds minority stakes in companies that its students created. Thus, the business school that gave rise to several projects becomes a venture Fund. Everything goes to the point that when students do not pay tuition fees, the business school will invest in students.
Research and forecasts
UN sustainable development goals (in Russian)
The sustainable development goals were developed by the UN in 2015 to preserve the stability and integrity of social, cultural and biological systems. The sdgs are a kind of call to action from all countries — poor, rich and middle - class-and are aimed at improving the well-being and protecting our planet. The agenda for sustainable development for the period until 2030 contains the 17 global goals and 169 of the respective tasks. The world's largest companies and cities follow the  SDGs in their development strategies.
Atlas of professions of the future (in Russian)
Almanac of promising industries and professions for the next 15−20 years, developed by the ASI and SKOLKOVO teams. It will help you understand which industries will be actively developing, which new technologies, products, management practices will be born in them, and which new specialists will be required by employers.
The future- in numbers and facts (in Russian)
RBC has collected 21 forecasts of economists, sociologists and futurists about what can happen to humanity in the 21st century
Documentary film "The Future is waiting" (in Russian)
Have you ever wondered what life on the planet might look like in 20 years? Imagine if we used the best discoveries and technologies and solved the existing problems? Everything depends on us. Look into a new world now.
"The future has come, but we didn’t notice it": 6 ideas from sci-fi movies that became reality (in Russian)
The plot of the HBO series "World of the Wild West", in which robots continue to fight for freedom and seek to finally take over the world, is still science fiction, but many other ideas from the movies have already been reflected in modern intelligent technologies.
Ivan Yamschikov, ABBYY’s AI Evangelist, gives some striking examples.
The problem of the growing personnel gap, the so-called "qualification pit", when people do not realize their capabilities, or their skills do not fully meet the needs of the market, already affects 1.3 billion people. Every year, the world economy pays it a hidden 6 percent tax in the form of lost productivity. In the framework of an international study that involved experts from 30 countries and more than 160 companies from 47 countries, the authors consider the causes of this problem, as well as suggest ways out of this situation based on the principles of human-centricity and mass uniqueness.
Time forecast of the future: lifestyle managers, a digital double of a person and blocking bad thoughts (in Russian)
Kirill Ignatiev, futurist, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the ecosystem of the group "Russian investments", a teacher at the University 20.35, presented his forecast of what technologies and, most importantly, when they will radically change the usual way of life.
What will happen to governments and state borders? How will our nutrition and education change? What about the ethical standards of humanity to think primarily?
Future: declassified. What will the world be like in 2030 (in Russian)
Excerpt from Matthew Burroughs book "Will technology be a blessing or a curse?"
Sketches of futurologists about the 2020s and 2030s (in Russian)
Why people will live longer, grow vegetables at home, and meet — virtually.
Global trends 2030: Alternative worlds (in Russian)
The collection" Global trends 2030: Alternative Worlds " (Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds) is an issue of reports aimed at forming basic ideas about the future.
Другие исследования Национального совета по исследованию стран БРИКС
The research is devoted to scientific and technical creativity circles as a key element of the informal horizontal educational ecosystem emerging in Russia and the world.
FREE research: in 10 years, 2 million specialists will be lacking in the IT market (in Russian)
To meet the needs of the digital economy in Russia, an additional 2 million IT specialists should appear in the next 10 years, IIDF experts calculated. In the current situation, if you do not change the approach to working with human capital, an acute shortage of IT specialists will lead to the underdevelopment of the digital economy and the inability to compete with developing countries.
ICT Moscow: IT forecasts, trends and trends (in Russian)
ICT. Moscow studied the forecasts of seven analytical companies: Deloitte, EY, Forrester, Gartner, IDC, KPMG, and TrendForce.
ASI Roadmap: Education 2030 (in Russian)
The map allows you to see the key trends that will affect education, trace the relationships between them, and build trajectories based on events, technologies, and formats that are most relevant in the near future.
Project X (in English)
The site of the Google X team, which already today finds non-standard solutions to complex problems using technology, such as moving under water or distributing the Internet in hard-to-reach places using airships.
Future of Education (in English)
The map of the global future of educational systems shows the main trends that are shaping the transformation of the region or are expected in the next two decades.
Urban trends (in English)
The European system for strategy and policy analysis estimates that by 2025−2030, about 630 million people will live in 40 megacities around the world. However, most of the world’s urban population will continue to live in cities with populations of less than 1 million. In today’s globalized world, "local" and "global" are increasingly interconnected, and many events at the urban level are actually part of common trends.
Author: Ben Davis